ERCOT

Texas Electric Rates – Market Trends and Price Forecast 2025

Texas electricity rate trends for 2025 show prices similar to 2024. Our Texas electricity rates trend forecast includes key factors driving electricity prices and what types of electricity plans will be popular this year.

Whether you live in Houston, Dallas or another area, the question is always, “Will electricity prices in Texas go down anytime soon?” Don’t bet on it.

Key Takeaways

For 2025, here are 4 key takeaways on Texas electricity rate trends.

  • Texas electricity prices for 2025 will continue at levels seen in 2024. Residential electricity rates will average 15-18¢ per kWh including delivery costs.
  • Longer term contract terms (24 to 36 months) will be the cheapest electricity options.
  • Pricing continues to show seasonality, with the best time to shop for electricity in the spring and fall.
  • Texas commercial electricity rates for 2025 will be in the 7-9¢ per kWh range, plus delivery costs.

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What are Market Securitization Charges?

Market securitization charges are a new line item on Texas electricity bills. They’re a direct outcome of Winter Storm Uri, paying for some of the extraordinary costs of that storm.

The Texas legislature passed House Bill (HB) 4492 in 2021 in response to the storm’s financial impact on the ERCOT power region. The legislation allows Texas REPs to add the charge to their bills for the next 30 years

You can’t avoid paying these fees, which are from a regulatory change. But you might as well understand them, since you’ll be paying them for the next 3 decades.

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Will Electricity Prices Fall this Fall in Texas?

We get questions like this all the time from customers, friends and neighbors. Will electricity prices fall this fall?

Normally we would say, of course! Electricity prices always drop in the fall in Texas. And this year is no exception, based on what we’re seeing with pricing. Prices are dropping… just not as far as we all hoped.

This article was written in Summer 2022. See our Texas Electricity Rate Trends 2023 article for the latest electricity price forecast for 2023.

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Understanding the Sales Tax Exemption in Texas for Cutting Energy Costs

You’ve heard about how Texas supports business growth. Among the many measures in place, certain businesses (as well as select residential communities) don’t have to pay the sales tax on their electricity bill. And any business that uses electricity in its production activities could qualify.

In this article, we’ll help you understand how to qualify for Texas’s sales tax exemption for commercial electricity.

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